Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.47	3.9	7.25
	1.42	4.1	8.6
	1.47	4.11	8.76
	1.51	3.9	7.36	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.48	4.39	7.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.1 ↑ (3.81)	7.82 ↑ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
65%

Draw
23%

Barracas Central
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.8%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Racing - Barracas Central Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 18. Pardo F. 13. Sosa S. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 4. Cannavo E. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B. 17. Conechny T. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez 24. Fernandez A.	1. Espinola J. (G) 4. Martinez D. 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 10. Tapia I. (C) 5. Miloc D. 8. Porra T. 20. Candia J. 11. Briasco N.
Substitutes
23. Colombo N. 8. Forneris A. 10. Miljevic M. 58. Perez T. 14. Pizarro D. 20. Rodriguez B. 27. Rojas G. 34. Rubio T. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 42. Volpe G.	28. Bogarin R. 7. Bruera F. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 14. Jappert K. 33. Maroni G. 30. Mino M. (G) 9. Morales G. 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E.
Coaches
Costas G.	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Fernandez A. 🟥,
13', Briasco N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Zaracho M. ⚽, Solari S. (A),
44', Capraro N. 🟨,
45+4', Sosa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
46', Tapia I. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
46', Capraro N. ↓, Bogarin R. ↑,
61', Zaracho M. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
61', Candia J. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
68', Solari S. ↓, Forneris A. ↑,
71', Miloc D. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Tobio F. ⚽,
85', Zuculini B. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
85', Sosa S. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
89', Rodriguez B. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Racing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barracas Central's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Racing is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Garcia A. (Red Card) Martirena Torres G. N. (Inactive) Rodriguez I. (Inactive) Rojas G. (Inactive) Solari S. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Barrios R. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.26	Aldosivi - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Racing - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Racing	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.26	Independiente - Racing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.26	Barracas Central - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.07.25	Racing - Barracas Central	0:1
24.01.25	Barracas Central - Racing	1:3
06.11.24	Barracas Central - Racing	0:2
22.06.23	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1
06.08.22	Barracas Central - Racing	0:0

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