The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo RJ 70.4%
Draw 18%
Chapecoense 11.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.9%
19.7%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
17.4%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Chapecoense (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Batista (G) 2. Vitinho 5. Ferraresi N. 21. Marcal 13. Alex Telles (C) 25. Allan 8. Danilo Santos 22. Ziyech H. 10. Montoro A. 11. Matheus Martins 9. Tiquinho Soares
98. Anderson (G) 20. Bruno Tubarao 21. Kauan 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 12. Fernando 27. Camilo Reijers 88. Yago Felipe 91. Bruno Pacheco 10. Giovanni Augusto 31. Mauricio Garcez 9. Tulio
Substitutes
91. Andrade D. 19. Arthur Cabral 37. Barria K. 90. Danilo Pereira 75. Huguinho 7. Junior Santos 33. Justino G. 59. Kauan Toledo 6. Medina C. 29. Paulinho 4. Ponte M. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 17. Warleson (G)
11. Bolasie Y. 16. Bruno Matias 80. Carvalho M. 23. Dudu Marques 4. Joao Paulo 30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 22. Max Alves 15. Rafael Thyere 39. Rodrigo 29. Rossi F.
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 13th and 20th in the Relegation - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
Botafogo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chapecoense is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, Botafogo enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Botafogo: Arthur Chaves
(Inactive)
Barrera J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Marcal
(Yellow Cards)
Monzon L.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Chapecoense: Heitor
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcinho
(Yellow Cards)
Max Alves
(Back Injury)
Rafael Carvalheira
(Knee Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Knee Injury).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Botafogo RJ
33
10
9
14
45:53
-8
39
20
Chapecoense-SC
32
4
9
19
32:66
-34
21
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo RJ - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.9%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Gabriel Batista (G) 
Ferraresi N. 
Ziyech H. 
Montoro A. 
Andrade D. 
Barria K. 
Ponte M. 
Bolasie Y. 
Carvalho M. 
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