Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Botafogo RJ		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	7	Watch
	1.42	4.80	6.75
	1.4	4.55	6.8
	1.43	4.91	6.7	Watch
	1.43	4.91	7.13
	1.38	4.7	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.73 ↓ (4.75)	6.93 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
66.7%

Draw
19.8%

Chapecoense
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

18.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 20th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Botafogo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Chapecoense has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, Botafogo enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Chapecoense-SC: 0.85% Botafogo RJ: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.9%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.26	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTT
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.26	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Corinthians - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	2:0
21.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	1:4
27.11.19	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	0:1
26.08.19	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	0:0
15.11.18	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	0:1
26.07.18	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0

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