Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
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Brazil	Paramount+
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Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 5
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Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
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New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
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Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Botafogo RJ		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.54	7.5
	1.44	4.56	7.26	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6	Watch
	1.45	4.52	7.03	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	4.38 ↑ (3.9)	7.04 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
65%

Draw
21.5%

Universidad de Chile
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Botafogo RJ - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Botafogo (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Universidad de Chile (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Universidad de Chile (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 5 - 50%). Universidad de Chile (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. John Victor (G) 2. Vitinho 32. Jair 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles 7. Artur 26. Gregore 17. Marlon Freitas 66. Cuiabano 10. Savarino J. 99. Igor Jesus	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 5. Ramirez N. 16. Sepulveda M. 21. Diaz M. 20. Aranguiz C. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 9. Fernandez L. 18. Di Yorio L.
Substitutes
25. Allan 5. Danilo Barbosa 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 77. Kauan Lindes 16. Nathan Fernandes 28. Newton 6. Patrick de Paula 4. Ponte M. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S. 9. Rwan Cruz 63. Serafim	19. Altamirano J. 28. Arce A. 10. Assadi L. 24. Diaz A. 6. Fernandez N. 26. Formiliano F. 12. Garrido P. (G) 11. Guerra N. 30. Montes G. 34. Moya F. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Alves R.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Jair 🟥,
32', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
45+6', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz M. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
59', Cuiabano 🟨,
60', Cuiabano ↓, Allan ↑,
66', John Victor 🟨,
67', Savarino J. ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
74', Di Yorio L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
87', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
88', Calderon F. 🟨,
89', Alex Telles ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
90+1', Altamirano J. 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Universidad de Chile has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of home games.

In this match, Botafogo is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Artur (Hamstring Injury) Barboza A. (Foot Injury) Bastos (Knee Injury) David Ricardo (Thigh Injury) Gonzalo Mastriani (Thigh Injury) Savarino J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Universidad de Chile: Zaldivia M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Capital CF Ltda - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Carabobo - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWW
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
23.05.25	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Huachipato	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Carabobo	4:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universidad de Chile - Botafogo RJ	1:0

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