Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Universidad de Chile		Carabobo

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	13	Watch
	1.27	5.5	10.5
	1.3	5	11	Watch
	1.31	5.28	10.78
	1.31	5.02	11.08	Watch
	1.29	4.8	11	Watch
	1.3	5.21	12.1	Watch
	1.3	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.1 ↑ (4.85)	11.31 ↑ (9.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
73.1%

Draw
18.5%

Carabobo
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

19.4%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

18.3%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Universidad de Chile - Carabobo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Universidad de Chile (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Universidad de Chile (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 20. Aranguiz C. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 17. Hormazabal F. 21. Diaz M. (C) 19. Altamirano J. 16. Sepulveda M. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 9. Fernandez L. 27. Contreras R.	22. Bruera L. (G) 28. Bonilla P. 4. Aponte L. 27. Rodriguez N. 13. Pernia M. 5. Gonzalez G. 23. Congo J. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 7. Tortolero E. 9. Londono F. 10. Robert Hernandez
Substitutes
28. Arce A. 10. Assadi L. 24. Diaz A. 18. Di Yorio L. 6. Fernandez N. 11. Guerra N. 30. Montes G. 34. Moya F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 5. Ramirez N. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)	14. Berrios J. 11. Canozales C. 12. Garcia F. (G) 1. Gil D. (G) 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 15. Mendoza S. 26. Nunez M. 3. Osio D. 8. Perez J. 99. Riasco J. 21. Ruiz F.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Merino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Sepulveda M. ⚽,
36', Congo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
62', Londono F. ↓, Berrios J. ↑,
62', Robert Hernandez ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
62', Congo J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
69', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
70', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
72', Aranguiz C. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
75', Pernia M. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Zaldivia M. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
83', Aponte L. 🟨,
85', Fernandez L. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
85', Diaz M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
85', Sepulveda M. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carabobo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Universidad de Chile is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Universidad de Chile: Aranguiz C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Carabobo: Martinez L. (Knee Injury) Neira E. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Cup
09.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Carabobo - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWT
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.05.25	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Carabobo - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.25	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Carabobo - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Carabobo - Universidad de Chile	1:1

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