Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Flamengo		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	10.00
	1.30	5.75	9.25
	1.28	5.50	9.50
	1.31	5.97	10.95
	1.39	4.95	7.84
	1.28	5.90	10.00
	1.30	5.86	10.70	Watch
	1.40	4.60	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	5.54 ↑ (4.26)	9.38 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
72.6%

Draw
17.2%

Botafogo RJ
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Flamengo - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Flamengo (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 7. Luiz Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro	12. Gabriel Batista (G) 5. Ferraresi N. 34. Justino G. 21. Marcal 2. Vitinho 75. Huguinho 8. Danilo Santos 13. Alex Telles (C) 88. Edenilson 10. Montoro A. 19. Arthur Cabral
Substitutes
15. Carrascal J. 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 77. Goes J. 61. Joao Souza 39. Josmar 99. Lorran 20. Lucas Paqueta 2. Varela G.	25. Allan 91. Andrade D. 37. Barria K. 62. Cleber (G) 90. Danilo Pereira 7. Junior Santos 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 6. Medina C. 33. Monzon L. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 17. Warleson (G)
Coaches
Jardim L.	Dias Bellao R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Samuel Lino ⚽, Jorginho (A),
21', Alex Telles ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Montoro A. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
57', Luiz Araujo ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
66', Edenilson ↓, Medina C. ↑,
75', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
77', Arthur Cabral ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
77', Vitinho ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
83', Marcal 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Samuel Lino ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
88', Pedro ↓, Everton ↑,
89', Justino G. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽, Everton (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4.

Flamengo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Botafogo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Calf Injury) Bruno Henrique (Yellow Cards) Everton (Illness) Vitao (Muscle Injury) de la Cruz N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Barrera J. (Injury) Paulinho (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Mirassol - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
24.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Cienciano - Botafogo RJ	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3
18.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
12.02.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	1:0
Supercopa do Brasil
02.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:3
Brazilian Serie A
18.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	4:1

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