Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Botafogo SP		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.5	3	2.18
	3.78	3.03	2.25
	3.65	3.16	2.11	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.74	2.99	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.16 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
26.1%

Draw
30.8%

Fortaleza
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Botafogo SP - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 4. Vilar 14. Carlao 6. Patrick Brey (C) 5. Maciel L. 10. Rafael Gava 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor	12. Brenno (G) 22. Mailton 2. Britez E. (C) 3. Gazal 18. Fuentes G. 29. Rodrigo 88. Lucas Sasha 11. Vitinho 7. Pochettino T. 32. Luiz Fernando 9. Miritello J. B.
Substitutes
27. Darlan 26. Felipe Vieira 11. Jefferson Nem 2. Jonathan 12. Jordan (G) 21. Luizao 19. Marcio Maranhao 20. Marquinho 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley 28. Yuri Felipe	35. Bruninho 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 38. Lucca Prior 19. Luquinhas 77. Paulo Baya 33. Rocha K. 75. Rodriguinho 8. Ronald 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 31. Welliton
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Hygor ⚽, Everton Morelli (A),
38', 2 - 0, Everton Morelli ⚽,
40', Everton Morelli 🟨,
43', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
45+4', 3 - 0, Vilar ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vitinho ↓, Welliton ↑,
46', Pochettino T. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
46', Rodrigo ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Everton Morelli ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
61', Gazal 🟨,
63', Everton Morelli ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
64', Miritello J. B. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
71', Patrick Brey ↓, Felipe Vieira ↑,
71', Rafael Gava ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
73', Lucas Crispim 🟨,
80', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
81', Lucas Sasha ↓, Ryan ↑,
88', Mailton 🟨,
89', Mailton 🟥,
90+1', Kelvin ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
90+2', Maciel L. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
90+5', Felipe Vieira 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortaleza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fortaleza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Henrique Teles (Injury) Rafael Gava (Injury) Wallace (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Botafogo SP - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Botafogo SP - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LWWLW
- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Manauara - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.03.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:2 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
24.02.26	Fortaleza - Maguary	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW

Upcoming Matches