Match Info

Paulista - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	Botafogo SP		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.32	3	3.1
	2.31	3.18	3.17	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.43	2.96	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.94)	3.22 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
39.9%

Draw
31.2%

EC Primavera
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Botafogo SP - EC Primavera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Primavera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 21. Patrick Brey 3. Ericson (C) 4. Vilar 6. Gabriel Inocencio 5. Maciel L. 8. Everton Morelli 11. Jefferson Nem 10. Rafael Gava 17. Marcio Maranhao 9. Leo Gamalho	1. Victor Hugo (G) 2. Kevin 3. Afonso 4. Ligger 6. Joao Victor 5. Junior Caicara (C) 8. Luan Martins 11. Welliton 10. Matheus Anjos 7. Paulo Baya 9. Gabriel Poveda
Substitutes
25. Brenno Klippel (G) 14. Carlao 15. Guilherme Mariano 19. Guilherme Queiroz 30. Henrique Teles 12. Jordan (G) 23. Kelvin 20. Marquinho 16. Matheus Sales 26. Pedro Henrique 29. Thalles 27. Yuri Felipe	12. Dheimison (G) 25. Josiel 23. Kauan Cunha 18. Leo Passos 19. Lucas Douglas 21. Luiz Fernando 16. Paulinho 17. Renatinho 14. Renato Vischi 20. Richard Almeyda 13. Samuel Andrade 15. Thales Oleques
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Rafael Marques

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Jefferson Nem 🟨,
38', Luan Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Welliton 🟨,
57', Marcio Maranhao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
57', Everton Morelli ↓, Marquinho ↑,
65', Kevin ↓, Thales Oleques ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Patrick Brey ⚽,
78', Matheus Anjos ↓, Josiel ↑,
78', Welliton ↓, Kauan Cunha ↑,
81', Joao Victor 🟨,
83', Leo Gamalho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
84', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
85', Maciel L. 🟨,
86', Paulo Baya ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
86', Luan Martins ↓, Renatinho ↑,
90+1', Paulo Baya 🟥,
90+3', Jefferson Nem ↓, Carlao ↑,

Preview

Primavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Botafogo SP could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Hygor (Inactive) Jeferson (Injury) Wallace (Inactive)

There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.01.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	5:0 ✺
15.01.26	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Velo Clube - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTTL
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.01.26	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:4 ✺
14.01.26	EC Primavera - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Guarani - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.10.25	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWTLW

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