Match Info

efbet League - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv)

Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Botev Plovdiv		CSKA 1948 Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2	Watch
	3.56	3.61	2.04
	3.15	3.36	2.20	Watch
	3.71	3.33	2	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.54)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	2.11 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
27.6%

Draw
27.9%

CSKA 1948 Sofia
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botev Plovdiv's form might have worsened.

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA 1948 Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA 1948 Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.6%	3.6%	92.9%

Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 26 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 83.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CSKA 1948 Sofia will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 22. Kwateng E. 4. Soldo N. 6. Yordanov A. 25. Abraham O. 27. Martinov E. 11. Tailson 8. Nedelev T. (C) 23. Okoflex A. 30. Mascote	13. Sheytanov D. (G) 96. Grivic D. 88. Traore A. 21. Dvali L. 3. Carrion J. 34. Vitanov P. 67. Frederic 20. Sobrero B. 19. Boychev M. 77. Franco E. 93. Diallo M.
Substitutes
5. Georgiev M. 7. Iliev N. 3. John E. 9. Mitkov D. 20. Petkov S. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 13. Tsonov S. 42. Videv I. 19. Zlatanov G.	4. Hoffmann A. 94. Iliev A. 8. Magnan J. 1. Marinov P. (G) 17. Martines J. 2. Medina D. 11. Rusev G. 10. Tsonev B. 70. Yordanov S.
Coaches
Kirov N.	Stoyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Frederic ⚽, Diallo M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Grivic D. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
52', Diallo M. 🟨,
56', Boychev M. ↓, Magnan J. ↑,
56', Franco E. ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
57', Tailson ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Kwateng E. ⚽, Minkov N. (A),
59', Sheytanov D. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Diallo M. ⚽, Rusev G. (A),
70', Abraham O. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
79', Sobrero B. ↓, Tsonev B. ↑,
82', Martinov E. ↓, John E. ↑,
82', Mascote ↓, Tsonov S. ↑,
84', Minkov N. 🟨,
88', Frederic 🟨,
90', Tsonev B. 🟨,
90+1', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 1.

Recent performances by Botev Plovdiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA 1948 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Botev Plovdiv has had a series of away games.

CSKA 1948 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.09.25	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
15.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Slavia Sofia	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.03.25	Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:5
29.09.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:1
23.05.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
06.05.24	Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0
07.04.24	Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0
08.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:0
10.04.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1

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