Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
France	beIN Sports 1, Free


	Boulogne		Bastia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.4
	3.4	2.98	2.22
	3.23	3.37	2.23
	3.65	3.00	2.16	Watch
	3.44	3.14	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)	2.22 (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boulogne
28%

Draw
29.9%

Bastia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.3%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	70%	15%

Boulogne - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Uriev A. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Gourville S. 15. Pinot A. 24. Siliadin L. 33. Kouassi E. 23. Fatar N. 14. Bultel J. (C) 19. Binet N. 10. El Farissi A. 26. Capuano G.	30. Placide J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 6. Guidi D. (C) 5. Ariss Z. 4. Roncaglia A. 9. Tomi F. 29. Etoga L. 13. Ducrocq T. 8. Karamoko I. 14. Sebas J. 10. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
7. Boiteau L. 12. Boyer J. 22. Duflos S. 17. Fatou C. 16. Kone I. (G) 27. Mpembele Boula E. 21. Platret A.	25. Aiki A. 21. Bathily Y. 11. Ble M. . Djedje D. 3. Guevara J. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 18. Zaouai A.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Capuano G. 🟨,
19', Etoga L. 🟨,
41', Karamoko I. 🟨,
41', Siliadin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Siliadin L. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
63', Karamoko I. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
65', Fatar N. ↓, Mpembele Boula E. ↑,
65', Kouassi E. ↓, Boyer J. ↑,
76', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
76', Tomi F. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
80', Bultel J. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
80', Capuano G. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
80', Duflos S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Mpembele Boula E. ⚽,
85', Etoga L. ↓, Bathily Y. ↑,
85', Roncaglia A. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
86', Ble M. 🟨,
87', Guevara J. 🟨,

Preview

Boulogne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Zohore N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury) Janneh J. (Inactive) Parravicini N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Platret A. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Boulogne - Laval	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Rodez - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Boulogne - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Nancy - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Fleury 91 - Boulogne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Amiens - Bastia	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bastia - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Bastia - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.01.21	Boulogne - Bastia	1:2
03.09.20	Bastia - Boulogne	0:1
French Ligue 2
02.03.12	Bastia - Boulogne	N/A

Upcoming Matches