Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Boulogne		Cholet

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	2	2.9	3.8
	1.99	3.1	3.75
	2.05	3.22	4.07
	2	3	3.8
	2.03	3.28	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.89)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	3.79 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
46.1%

Draw
29.7%

Cholet
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

20.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cholet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boulogne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cholet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boulogne - Cholet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Boulogne will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Boulogne won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
10.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	0:3 ✺
03.09.21	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Annecy - Boulogne	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Boulogne - Orleans	1:1 ✺
13.08.21	Red Star - Boulogne	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTW
- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
10.09.21	Cholet - Concarneau	4:2 ✺
03.09.21	Laval - Cholet	2:1 ✺
27.08.21	Cholet - Sedan	1:1 ✺
20.08.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Cholet	4:0 ✺
13.08.21	Cholet - Sète 34	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
01.05.21	Boulogne - Cholet	1:2
18.12.20	Cholet - Boulogne	1:2
06.03.20	Cholet - Boulogne	0:3
27.09.19	Boulogne - Cholet	1:2
01.02.19	Cholet - Boulogne	1:1
24.08.18	Boulogne - Cholet	1:0
27.04.18	Cholet - Boulogne	1:2

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