Match Info

Date: 10 September 2021, Friday


	Bastia-Borgo		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.35
	2.9	2.8	2.45
	3.1	2.95	2.34
	3.25	3.05	2.45
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	2.97	3.13	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.86)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
30.2%

Draw
31.1%

Boulogne
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

21.4%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia-Borgo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boulogne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bastia Borgo - Boulogne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Bastia-Borgo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boulogne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
03.09.21	Concarneau - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
27.08.21	Bastia-Borgo - Laval	2:2 ✺
20.08.21	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
13.08.21	Bastia-Borgo - Bourg-Péronnas	2:2 ✺
06.08.21	Sète 34 - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
03.09.21	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Annecy - Boulogne	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Boulogne - Orleans	1:1 ✺
13.08.21	Red Star - Boulogne	1:3 ✺
06.08.21	Boulogne - Chambly	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
09.03.21	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
28.10.20	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	2:1
14.02.20	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	1:0
06.09.19	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
French National 1 - Group C
23.03.19	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
20.10.18	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	3:2

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