Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Boulogne		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.20	2.40
	2.75	3	2.52	Watch
	2.99	3.2	2.59
	2.74	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.65
	2.81	3.12	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
33.3%

Draw
30%

Dijon
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Boulogne - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Boulogne (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Dijon (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dijon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Noukeu B. (G) 21. Platret A. 25. Kerriou A. 15. Pinot A. 18. Thiam D. 12. Boyer J. 8. Martin J. 19. Binet N. (C) 64. Epailly T. 10. Hbouch A. 17. Besic B.	16. Delecroix P. (G) 7. Hamada B. 6. Diouf W. 23. Lacroix L. 31. Faty M. 14. Marie J. (C) 21. Chouchane S. 4. Barreto M. 18. Ndezi B. 29. Ntamack A. 9. Dong T.
Substitutes
14. Bultel J. 13. Etonde L. 11. Fatar N. 26. Lenne O. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 29. Mion M. 7. Nassiri A. 28. Paillard S. 36. Soumah M.	42. Aka Y. 15. Bargain A. 8. Bellon P. 5. Bernard Q. 71. Ketterle E. (G) 90. Lago E. 17. Lembezat A. 30. Mimoune H. 20. Vargas-Rios H.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Ridira B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Platret A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Epailly T. ⚽, Besic B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Hamada B. 🟨,
56', Boyer J. 🟨,
57', Hamada B. ↓, Bernard Q. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Dong T. ⚽, Marie J. (A),
70', Ntamack A. ↓, Lago E. ↑,
71', Marie J. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
71', Barreto M. ↓, Lembezat A. ↑,
73', Epailly T. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
73', Boyer J. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
73', Binet N. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
84', Besic B. ↓, Etonde L. ↑,
87', Dong T. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
90+2', Diouf W. 🟨,

Preview

Boulogne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dijon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Boulogne: Brusco T. (Red Card) Kone I. (Inactive) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dijon: Benyahya A. (Inactive) Diallo B. (Inactive) Obongo C. (Inactive) Rombogouera F. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dijon: 1.44% Boulogne: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Boulogne - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Valenciennes - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLTT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
31.08.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Clermont - Dijon	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Montpellier - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nancy - Dijon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
09.05.25	Dijon - Boulogne	0:3
17.01.25	Boulogne - Dijon	2:2

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