Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Boulogne		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	2	3.05	3.95
	2.2	3.03	3.55
	1.93	3.13	3.99	Watch
	1.91	3	4
	1.94	3.14	4.28	Watch
	2	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.21)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	3.89 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
46.3%

Draw
30%

Nîmes
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

Boulogne - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Uriev A. (G) 11. Averlant T. 27. Baala A. 14. Bultel J. 24. Epailly T. 2. Gourville S. 21. Hbouch A. 15. Pinot A. 9. Rambaud T. 26. Thiam D. 8. Vercruysse J.	50. Ichalalen A. (G) 9. Abdeldjelil O. 31. Akkal S. 23. Beneddine M. 5. Diouf W. (C) 6. Doukansy B. 36. Iafrate J. 17. Labonne R. 27. Malouda A. 10. Marcel V. 14. Mexique J.
Substitutes
23. Dabo E. 40. Delins V. (G) 17. Fatou C. 29. Kitenge C. 20. Toure H.	26. Amara A. 37. Bouaoune I. 7. Camara I. 34. El Hamri S. 11. Khalid M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Labonne R. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Vercruysse J. ⚽, Hbouch A. (A),
43', Pinot A. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Abdeldjelil O. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Malouda A. 🟨,
58', Malouda A. ↓, El Hamri S. ↑,
65', Epailly T. ↓, Kitenge C. ↑,
77', Averlant T. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
77', Bultel J. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
81', Akkal S. ↓, Khalid M. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Fatou C. ⚽, Hbouch A. (A),
86', Fatou C. 🟨,
88', Mexique J. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
90', Marcel V. ↓, Amara A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Boulogne will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boulogne: Boyer J. (Injury) Busin A. (Suspended) Duflos S. (Injury) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zohore N. (Injury)

There will not play in Nîmes: Khalid M. (Inactive) Labonne R. (Inactive) Laurens G. (Inactive) Paviot D. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
14.03.25	Orleans - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Boulogne - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Nancy - Boulogne	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Boulogne - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWWL
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
14.03.25	Nîmes - Dijon	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Sochaux - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Nîmes - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Versailles - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Nîmes - Concarneau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.10.24	Nîmes - Boulogne	2:0

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