Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Retail P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Clermont		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.50
	2.62	3	2.62	Watch
	2.67	3.13	2.97
	2.74	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.9
	2.54	3.14	2.81	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.34)	3.08 ↓ (3.12)	2.7 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Clermont
35.2%

Draw
30.2%

Boulogne
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clermont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boulogne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Clermont - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 4. Kabeya E. 12. Nsimba V. 26. Kouame R. 5. Grillot J. 17. Diop O. 10. Sambia J. 7. Bianchini F. 90. Okou C.	99. Noukeu B. (G) 21. Platret A. 18. Thiam D. 25. Kerriou A. 20. Brusco T. 29. Mion M. 14. Bultel J. (C) 8. Martin J. 64. Epailly T. 10. Hbouch A. 17. Besic B.
Substitutes
13. Astic J. 77. Cantero E. 23. Hunou A. 6. Kone E. H. 28. M'Bahia I. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 39. Nyindong Tsamouna J. 29. Saintorens A. 18. Strotz N.	19. Binet N. 12. Boyer J. 22. Duflos S. 13. Etonde L. 11. Fatar N. 26. Lenne O. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 7. Nassiri A. 15. Pinot A.
Coaches
Guion D.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Epailly T. 🟨,
60', Noukeu B. 🟨,
66', Coulibaly I. 🟨,
66', Epailly T. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
67', Kouame R. ↓, Astic J. ↑,
67', Bultel J. ↓, Binet N. ↑,
67', Bianchini F. ↓, Cantero E. ↑,
67', Platret A. ↓, Nassiri A. ↑,
75', Mion M. ↓, Boyer J. ↑,
77', Diop O. ↓, Strotz N. ↑,
77', Okou C. ↓, Nyindong Tsamouna J. ↑,
78', Martin J. 🟨,
81', Besic B. ↓, Etonde L. ↑,
84', Sambia J. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
90+2', Salmier Y. 🟨,
90+3', Hbouch A. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Clermont: Ackra A. (Injury) Baallal A. (Inactive) Bellache Y. (Inactive) Bouchenna M. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Inactive) Pelmard A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boulogne: Duflos S. (Inactive) Kone I. (Inactive) Lecolier M. (Inactive) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Boulogne: 0.42% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Boulogne - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
04.09.26	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Clermont - Dijon	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Clermont - Reims	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTTLT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Boulogne - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Boulogne - Clermont	0:2
05.12.25	Clermont - Boulogne	1:1
25.05.25	Clermont - Boulogne	1:2
20.05.25	Boulogne - Clermont	1:3
20.04.12	Boulogne - Clermont	N/A

Upcoming Matches