Match Info

National - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Boulogne		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.88	3.45	3.9
	1.92	3.31	4.51
	1.85	3.28	4.13	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.9	3.37	4.05	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.21)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	4.04 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
49.3%

Draw
27.8%

Sochaux
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boulogne's performance.

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boulogne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Boulogne - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) 15. Pinot A. 23. Dabo E. (C) 5. Zohore N. 12. Boyer J. 26. Thiam D. 8. Vercruysse J. 14. Bultel J. 11. Averlant T. 17. Fatou C. 21. Hbouch A.	1. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Dacosta J. 14. Peybernes M. (C) 7. Ouammou N. 23. Mayela V. 28. Mendes Da Silva E. 24. Jean C. 26. Benchamma S. 6. Drammeh M. 27. Michel D. 19. Lecolier M.
Substitutes
27. Baala A. 22. Duflos S. 20. Toure H. 30. Uriev A. (G)	25. Daho A. 2. Guett Guett A. 22. Loubao S. 5. Moltenis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Michel D. ⚽, Mendes Da Silva E. (A),
43', Bultel J. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Lecolier M. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Jean C. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Dabo E. ⚽, Boyer J. (A),
67', Peybernes M. 🟨,
70', Lecolier M. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
70', Michel D. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
74', Sidibe A. 🟨,
77', Bultel J. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
78', Toure H. 🟨,
79', Ouammou N. ↓, Moltenis B. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Daho A. ⚽, Sidibe A. (A),
82', Averlant T. ↓, Baala A. ↑,
82', Thiam D. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
85', Mendes Da Silva E. 🟨,
86', Hbouch A. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
87', Dacosta J. ↓, Guett Guett A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Duflos S. ⚽, Fatou C. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Boulogne is the team to beat.

There will not play in Boulogne: Gourville S. (Inactive) Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Paillard S. (Injury)

There will not play in Sochaux: Dode E. (Red Card) Doumbia M. (Inactive) Fatar N. (Inactive) Gnanduillet A. (Inactive) Hoggas K. (Inactive) Lienard D. (Inactive) Moltenis B. (Inactive) Ouammou N. (Foot Injury) Vitelli A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
25.04.25	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Boulogne - Versailles	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Concarneau - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Boulogne - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Valenciennes - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
25.04.25	Sochaux - Dijon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Châteauroux - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Sochaux - Versailles	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.01.25	Sochaux - Boulogne	1:1

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