The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rouen FC 62.8%
Draw 22.9%
Bourg-Péronnas 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
22.1%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
21%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Rouen FC - Bourg Péronnas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maraval A. (G) 5. Gaspar J. 15. Lamgahez Z. 22. Mendy F. 18. Bassin C. (C) 13. Camara B. 11. Sommer N. 25. Diaby S. 8. Egny G. 28. Pacius W. 9. Tchokounte M.
1. Montfort L. (G) 27. Muro R. 5. Lacour Q. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 17. Lebas da Silva V. 18. Kanoute Y. 6. Souici R. (C) 22. Gomes T. 8. Frayssinous T. 15. Ehling T. 28. Gharbi A.
Substitutes
3. Borne M. 30. Desprez D. (G) 10. Karamoko I. 17. Samoura I. 12. Toure A. 21. Traore S. 29. Viana J.
34. Adoumbou T. 21. Alberto E. 4. Dihad A. 33. Kintuntu N. 14. Krizoua A. 7. Muepu O. 40. Popp P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Bassin C. 🟨,
24', Sommer N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Bassin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Mendy F. 🟨,
70', Ehling T. ↓, Kintuntu N. ↑,
70', Souici R. ↓, Krizoua A. ↑,
70', Lebas da Silva V. ↓, Muepu O. ↑,
72', Egny G. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
72', Pacius W. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
77', Gaspar J. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Camara B. ⚽,
82', Gharbi A. ↓, Dihad A. ↑,
82', Kanoute Y. ↓, Alberto E. ↑,
86', Tchokounte M. ↓, Viana J. ↑,
86', Bassin C. ↓, Borne M. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Ligue 2 and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen FC won 4.
Rouen FC has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bourg-Péronnas is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bourg-Péronnas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rouen FC enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rouen FC has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen FC against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).