Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Boyacá Chicó		Real Santander

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7
	1.38	3.85	8
	1.39	4	7
	1.44	4.35	7.93
	1.38	3.9	7.5
	1.4	4.3	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)	4.07 ↑ (3.2)	7.47 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
65.3%

Draw
22.5%

Real Santander
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boyacá Chicó's performance.

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Santander might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boyacá Chicó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Real Santander will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boyacá Chicó: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Boyacá Chicó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boyacá Chicó is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera B
19.04.22	Real Cartagena - Boyacá Chicó	3:1 ✺
08.04.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
26.03.22	Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1 ✺
22.03.22	Tigres - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLL
- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
16.04.22	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
06.04.22	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	1:5 ✺
Colombian Primera B
03.04.22	Real Santander - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
30.03.22	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
15.03.22	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	2:1
02.03.22	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	0:1
Colombian Primera B
19.10.21	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:1
29.10.17	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:2
12.06.17	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
08.06.17	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:2
13.05.17	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	1:1

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