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Current Win Probability
Bra 19.5%
Draw 26.1%
Ravenna 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
25.8%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
25.5%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bra's form might have worsened.
Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ravenna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ravenna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bra - Ravenna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Renzetti D. (G) 31. De Santis E. (C) 17. Fiordaliso A. 6. Sganzerla R. 14. Lionetti G. 77. Brambilla A. 27. Campedelli R. 29. Maressa T. 3. Rottensteiner B. 11. Sinani I. 92. Baldini E.
1. Anacoura J. (G) 44. Bianconi A. 21. Esposito A. 5. Solini M. 27. Corsinelli F. 17. Lonardi L. 8. Rossetti M. 11. Rrapaj P. (C) 10. Viola N. 19. Spini C. 79. Italeng J.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 16. Armstrong D. 4. Cannistra P. 76. Capac A. 28. Dimatteo S. 1. Franzini D. (G) 37. Leoncini M. 2. Lia D. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 21. Minaj E. 36. Rabuffi M.
24. Borra D. (G) 20. Calandrini G. 77. Da Pozzo L. 6. Di Marco T. 2. Donati G. 3. Falbo L. . Fischnaller M. 18. Luciani P. 4. Mandorlini M. 7. Okaka S. 47. Scaringi M. 12. Stagni T. (G) 76. Zakaria K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Baldini E. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
45+2', Lonardi L. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bianconi A. ↓, Da Pozzo L. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Sganzerla R. ⚽,
56', Rrapaj P. ↓, Falbo L. ↑,
56', Spini C. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
57', Viola N. ↓, Di Marco T. ↑,
60', Baldini E. 🟨,
61', Rottensteiner B. 🟨,
63', Sganzerla R. 🟨,
64', Rottensteiner B. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
69', Corsinelli F. ↓, Fischnaller M. ↑,
88', Sinani I. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
88', Campedelli R. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Solini M. ⚽,
90+6', Brambilla A. ↓, Lia D. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Bra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ravenna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Ravenna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ravenna is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ravenna
8
5
2
1
13:4
9
17
Last Results with these Odds
Ravenna - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.