Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Perugia		Bra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.65
	1.67	3.47	4.97	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.75
	1.7	3.28	4.8
	1.68	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)	3.34 ↓ (3.68)	4.83 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
53.9%

Draw
27.3%

Bra
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bra than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Perugia - Bra Predictions

Users Predictions: Perugia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Perugia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 28. Riccardi D. 31. Tozzuolo A. 15. Dell'Orco C. 20. Tumbarello G. 16. Bartolomei P. 32. Megelaitis L. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D. 11. Bacchin L.	22. Renzetti D. (G) 17. Fiordaliso A. 6. Sganzerla R. 31. De Santis E. 29. Maressa T. 14. Lionetti G. 27. Campedelli R. 8. Tuzza S. 3. Rottensteiner B. 92. Baldini E. 11. Sinani I.
Substitutes
74. Bellali O. 30. Giardino C. 6. Giunti G. 4. Joselito 23. Lisi F. 10. Matos 12. Moro L. (G) 90. Nepi A. 18. Perugini M. 71. Rondolini P. 17. Terrnava D. 22. Vinti L. (G)	16. Armstrong D. 77. Brambilla A. 4. Cannistra P. 76. Capac A. 80. Fioccardi T. 1. Franzini D. (G) 37. Leoncini M. 2. Lia D. 21. Minaj E. 36. Rabuffi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
34', Campedelli R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Lionetti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Montevago D. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
58', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
63', Calapai L. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
63', Megelaitis L. ↓, Joselito ↑,
73', Sinani I. ↓, Minaj E. ↑,
74', Tumbarello G. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
74', Baldini E. ↓, Capac A. ↑,
78', Tuzza S. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
83', Gemello L. 🟨,
85', Bartolomei P. ↓, Giardino C. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Nepi A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Perugia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Perugia	10	5	1	4	14:15	-1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Campobasso - Perugia	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Perugia - Ternana	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juventus U23 - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL
- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
04.01.26	Bra - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Bra - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ternana - Bra	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bra - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Forlì - Bra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.25	Bra - Perugia	2:2

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