Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.55	3.2	2.37
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.67	3.4	2.6
	2.67	3.27	2.6
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.55	3.36	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
35.2%

Draw
27.8%

Warrington Town
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Gloucester City - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gloucester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Warrington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
28.10.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Tamworth - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Warrington Town
English National League North
28.10.23	Warrington Town - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Warrington Town - Farsley	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Warrington Town - South Shields	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWTT

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