Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 17

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	Bradford City		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	6	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.94	5.76
	1.63	3.71	5.45	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.58	3.94	5.58	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.87 ↑ (3.78)	5.61 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
58.9%

Draw
24.3%

Accrington Stanley
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

27.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Bradford City - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: Bradford City will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samuel Colin Walker 5. Neill Byrne 2. Bradley Halliday 24. Jack Shepherd 6. Richard Smallwood 7. Jamie Walker 3. Lewis Richards 27. Jay Benn 23. Bobby Pointon 9. Andrew Cook 999. Oliver Sanderson	999. Billy Crellin 5. Farrend Rawson 4. Zach Awe 999. Sonny Aljofree 2. Donald Alistair Love 17. Dara Costelloe 6. Liam Coyle . Nelson Khumbeni 8. Benjamin Woods 23. Tyler Walton 39. Josh Woods
Substitutes
39. Cheick Diabate 12. Clarke Oduor 13. Colin Doyle 30. Corry Evans 20. Paul Huntington 14. Tyler Smith 19. Vadaine Oliver	10. Alex Henderson 19. Anjola Popoola 45. Ashley Hunter 11. Jimmy Knowles 25. Josh Smith 1. Michael Kelly 28. Seamus Conneely
Coaches
Alexander G.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Pattison A. ⚽, Pointon B. (A),
27', Baldwin A. 🟨,
32', Rawson F. ↓, Aljofree S. ↑,
36', Woods B. 🟨,
43', Pointon B. 🟨,
45+2', Batty J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
45+5', Smallwood R. 🟨,
45+6', Pattison A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Woods B. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
60', Johnson C. ↓, Huntington P. ↑,
60', Kavanagh C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
73', Mooney K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
73', Walton T. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
82', Pointon B. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
82', Pattison A. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 9 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford won 5.

Bradford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Accrington is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bradford is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bradford won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
08.02.25	Bradford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Bradford City - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bradford City - Walsall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
08.02.25	Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.03.24	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:3
25.11.23	Bradford City - Accrington Stanley	1:0
English League Cup
08.08.23	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:2
English League One
01.01.19	Bradford City - Accrington Stanley	3:0
13.10.18	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	3:1
English FA Cup
05.11.16	Bradford City - Accrington Stanley	1:2

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