The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 35.8%
Draw 27.7%
Cheltenham Town 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
26.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
26.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
37.5%
62.5%
Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moulden L. (G) 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Anderson J. 17. Matthews D. 2. Love D. 38. O'Brien C. 10. Henderson A. 14. Mols S. 33. Tutonda D. 23. Walton T. 39. Woods J.
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 4. Tomlinson J. 26. Shipley J. 7. Stevenson B. (C) 19. Evans J. 8. McCann C. 14. Broom R. 18. Weimann A.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 27. Catesby J. 8. Grant C. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 25. Smith J. 3. Smith O. 30. Warren C.
11. Bickerstaff J. 1. Day J. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 33. Willcox F. 6. Wilson J.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Cotterill S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', McCann C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Walton T. 🟨,
55', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
62', Walton T. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
74', Woods J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Warren C. ⚽, O'Brien C. (A),
80', Tutonda D. 🟨,
84', Shipley J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
84', Broom R. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Warren C. ⚽,
90+3', McCann C. 🟨,
90+5', Weimann A. 🟨,
90+6', Weimann A. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 19th and 2nd in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
In recent outings, Accrington has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cheltenham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Accrington: Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Cheltenham: Onukwuli F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Accrington: Moore T.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Accrington has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:22 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Accrington against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Moulden L. (G) 
Conneely S. (C) 
Love D. 
Mols S. 
Tutonda D. 
Tomkinson J. 
McCann C. 
Broom R. 
Weimann A. 
Otchere K. 
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