Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 44

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Chester

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.75	1.57
	5	4	1.6
	5	4	1.66
	4.9	3.72	1.69
	4.85	3.88	1.65
	4.7	3.8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.04)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
19.1%

Draw
24%

Chester
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

21.9%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Burke H. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Peers T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
57', 1 - 2, Brain O. ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, Glendon G. ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, Thomas A. (Pen),
77', 1 - 5, Burke H. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 6, Tollitt B. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
01.04.24	Peterborough Sports - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warrington Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTLWL
- Chester City
English National League North
01.04.24	Chester - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Buxton - Chester	1:4 ✺
23.03.24	Chester - South Shields	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Tamworth - Chester	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Chester - Southport	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.01.24	Chester - Gloucester City	3:0
21.02.23	Gloucester City - Chester	1:1
25.10.22	Chester - Gloucester City	1:1
22.03.22	Gloucester City - Chester	3:3
26.10.21	Chester - Gloucester City	3:2
31.10.20	Gloucester City - Chester	2:1
17.08.19	Chester - Gloucester City	4:0

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