Match Info
National League North - Round 32Date: 10 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: Deva Stadium (Chester)
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Chester |
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Alfreton Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.9 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
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1.92 |
3.35 |
3.65 |
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1.9 |
3.47 |
3.97 |
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1.88 |
3.61 |
3.82 |
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1.95 |
3.25 |
3.7 |
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1.95 |
3.49 |
3.7 |
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1.92 |
3.25 |
3.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.66) |
3.4 ↓
(3.66) |
3.75 ↓
(4.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chester
48.2% | Draw
27.2% | Alfreton Town
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Chester - Alfreton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chester will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Alfreton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Ayres J. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Woods C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Cummings J. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Chester has had a series of away games. In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chester won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.6:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chester: 10.41%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 21.10.25 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 0:2 | | 18.01.25 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 2:0 | | 24.08.24 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 2:2 | | 01.04.24 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 0:2 | | 21.11.23 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 1:1 | | 31.01.23 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 1:1 | | 06.08.22 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
