Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Chester		Boston United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.7	3.5	4.1
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.7	4.57
	1.77	3.57	4.57
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.72	3.58	4.55
	1.73	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	4.22 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
51.9%

Draw
26.2%

Boston United
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Chester - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chester won 3.

Chester is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boston United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boston United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chester to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chester won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
09.12.23	Chester - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chester - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
28.11.23	Rushall Olympic - Chester	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	South Shields - Chester	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTWT
- Boston United
English National League North
02.12.23	Brackley Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Boston United - Chorley	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Boston United - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Peterborough Sports - Boston United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.09.23	Boston United - Chester	1:0
18.02.23	Chester - Boston United	1:0
29.10.22	Boston United - Chester	2:3
29.01.22	Boston United - Chester	4:0
06.11.21	Chester - Boston United	4:0
12.12.20	Boston United - Chester	0:0
03.08.19	Boston United - Chester	1:1

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