Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 8

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.95	3.35	2.15
	2.9	3.59	2.2
	3	3.4	2.1
	2.92	3.48	2.16
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.64)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	2.15 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
31%

Draw
26.6%

Gloucester City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bradford PA will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Gloucester will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gloucester: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 1.

Recent matches Bradford Park Avenue is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
29.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Southport - Bradford Park Avenue	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
29.10.22	Gloucester City - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Chester - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Gloucester City - Farsley	5:1 ✺
15.10.22	Alfreton Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Gloucester City - Southport	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.03.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	1:2
09.10.21	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0
14.11.20	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	4:4
08.02.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	1:2
English FA Trophy
24.11.19	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2
English National League North
19.10.19	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0
04.03.17	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	0:1

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