Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	Wowow Live
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Braga		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5
	1.68	4.2	5
	1.67	4.1	5.11
	1.7	4.25	5.22
	1.68	3.95	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	4.1 ↑ (4.03)	4.99 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
57.4%

Draw
23.4%

Genk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	6.8%	11.4%

Braga - Genk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Braga will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 2. Gomez V. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 5. Lelo L. 29. Gorby 8. Moutinho J. 21. Horta R. (C) 10. Zalazar R. 9. El Ouazzani A. 77. Martinez G.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 27. Nkuba K. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 38. Heymans D. 8. Heynen B. (C) 17. Hrosovsky P. 20. Karetsas K. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 14. Sor Y.
Substitutes
36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 27. Grillitsch F. 39. Navarro F. 4. Niakate S. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 18. Victor P. 6. Vitor Carvalho	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 99. Erabi J. 44. Kongolo J. 26. Lawal T. (G) 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 71. Stevens B. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Vicens C.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Nkuba K. ↓, Kongolo J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Sor Y. ⚽,
56', Moutinho J. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
56', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
56', Lelo L. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
64', Sor Y. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Zalazar R. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
72', 2 - 4, Medina Y. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
78', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
78', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
78', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
78', Horta R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
84', Zalazar R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
86', 3 - 4, Lagerbielke G. ⚽,
89', Martinez G. 🟨,
90+2', Kongolo J. 🟨,
90+3', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Braga is the team to beat.

There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vitor Carvalho (Injury)

There will not play in Genk: El Ouahdi Z. (Shoulder Injury) Ito J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Genk: Bangoura I. (Knock)

We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.45%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
02.11.25	Porto - Braga	2:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.25	Braga - Santa Clara	5:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
26.10.25	Braga - Casa Pia	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Bragança - Braga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.11.25	Westerlo - Genk	0:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Genk - RWDM Brussels	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.25	Genk - RAAL La Louvière	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Genk - Betis	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.25	Cercle Brugge - Genk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTTT

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