Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Braga		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33
	1.91	3.5	4.1
	2	3.4	4.1
	1.9	3.35	4.1
	1.92	3.48	4.54
	1.88	3.3	4.4
	1.93	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	4.31 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
49.9%

Draw
27.9%

Midtjylland
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

18.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	19.3%	7.3%

Braga - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 150 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 110 - 73.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 11 - 7.3%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 19.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 66.2% – 80.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Braga has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (36%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Midtjylland has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (29%), has a chance of round of 16 (36%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Braga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Midtjylland is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Midtjylland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Braga have a series of guest games.

Braga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
26.09.21	Santa Clara - Braga	1:1 ✺
20.09.21	Braga - Tondela	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Braga	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.09.21	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.21	Villarreal - Braga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
26.09.21	Midtjylland - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
22.09.21	Kjellerup - Midtjylland	0:5 ✺
Danish Superliga
19.09.21	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Midtjylland - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
10.09.21	Midtjylland - Nordsjælland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW

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