Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+, N Sports
Canada	beIN Connect
Denmark	Bold+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Mexico	Claro Sports
Norway	VG+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Digiturk
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect


	Santa Clara		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.10	2.15	Watch
	3.40	3.10	2.15
	3.55	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.66	3.22	2.27
	3.57	3.15	2.19	Watch
	3.60	3.15	2.20
	3.76	3.17	2.18	Watch
	3.35	3.10	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.88)	3.14 ↓ (3.27)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
26.7%

Draw
30.1%

Braga
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

30.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Santa Clara - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Braga will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Franca (G) 42. Lucas Soares 4. Pacheco P. 21. Fernandes E. 5. Guilherme Romao 8. Tavares J. 6. Ferreira P. 20. Ribeiro T. 70. Vinicius Lopes 9. Paciencia G. (C) 10. Brenner	31. Bernardo (G) 37. Barisic A. 6. Vitor Carvalho 44. Bajrami A. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 10. Victor P. 17. Milosevic J. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
41. Daniel Borges 18. Duarte A. 80. Duarte T. 7. Fernando 73. Leo Jaco 25. Medeiros F. 12. Neneca (G) 3. Silva H. 17. Vasconcelos 22. Vitinho 11. Welinton Torrao 19. Ythallo	26. Arrey-Mbi B. 78. Carvalho J. (G) 20. Dorgeles M. 11. Gabriel Silva 23. Huseinbasic D. 16. Marques T. 9. Navarro F. 50. Rodrigues D. 22. Sergio Barcia 34. Tiknaz D. E. 7. Travassos 19. Wind J.
Coaches
Petit	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
36', Bajrami A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Martinez G. ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
56', Milosevic J. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
56', Moutinho J. 🟨,
63', Ribeiro T. ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
66', Moutinho J. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
66', Barisic A. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
69', Lucas Soares 🟨,
71', Brenner ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
71', Paciencia G. ↓, Fernando ↑,
73', Lucas Franca 🟨,
77', Daniel Borges 🟨,
81', Gorby 🟨,
85', Horta R. ↓, Marques T. ↑,
90+2', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Vasconcelos ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1.

Santa Clara arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Braga shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Braga holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Santa Clara: MT (Knee Injury) Sorriso (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Braga: Huseinbasic D. (Inactive) Niakate S. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:41 (averaging 0.9:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Clara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:16 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Braga: 0.84% Santa Clara: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15
7	Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
13.09.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
14.09.26	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Alverca - Braga	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Austria Wien - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
26.04.26	Santa Clara - Braga	2:1
15.12.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.25	Braga - Santa Clara	5:0
Liga Portugal
03.05.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:1
22.12.24	Santa Clara - Braga	0:2
14.05.23	Braga - Santa Clara	5:3
05.01.23	Santa Clara - Braga	0:4

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