Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Triller TV+


	Braga		Tondela

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.75
	1.37	4.7	7.9	Watch
	1.38	5	8.69
	1.39	4.79	8.20	Watch
	1.36	4.4	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.7	8.7	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)	4.7 ↓ (5.21)	8.26 ↓ (9.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
68.5%

Draw
20.1%

Tondela
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

18.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Braga - Tondela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Tondela (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Braga will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tondela (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 15. Oliveira P. (C) 6. Vitor Carvalho 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 7. Roger 50. Rodrigues D. 29. Gorby 11. Gharbi I. 5. Lelo L. 9. El Ouazzani A. 18. Victor P.	31. Bernardo (G) 48. Manso T. 5. Afonso J. 20. Medina B. 60. Maviram E. 10. Hodge J. 97. Cicero 8. Tavares H. (C) 7. Pedro Maranhao 9. Miro 67. Yarlen
Substitutes
36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 20. Bocha M. 2. Gomez V. 21. Horta R. 14. Lagerbielke G. 39. Navarro F. 4. Niakate S. 95. Vidigal S. 10. Zalazar R.	2. Bebeto 6. Ceitil A. 14. Huarte X. 4. Marques C. 70. Moudjatovic M. 19. Rodrigues A. 32. Rodriguez J. 11. Rodriguez Y. 1. Souza G. (G)
Coaches
Vicens C.	Vieira I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Vitor Carvalho ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Victor P. ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Oliveira P. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
55', Victor P. ↓, Horta R. ↑,
64', Tavares H. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
64', Yarlen ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
68', Gorby ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
69', Gharbi I. ↓, Vidigal S. ↑,
71', Roger 🟨,
73', Miro ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
73', Cicero ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
77', Afonso J. 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Horta R. (Pen),
82', Medina B. 🟨,
84', Roger ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
86', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.

Braga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Braga is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Tondela: Sithole S. (Leg Injury)

We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Braga won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	CFR Cluj - Braga	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Braga - Levski Sofia	1:0 ET ✺
24.07.25	Levski Sofia - Braga	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Braga - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Panathinaikos - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Leiria - Tondela	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Tondela - Alverca	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Tondela - Chaves	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Portimonense - Tondela	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Tondela - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
20.02.22	Tondela - Braga	0:1
20.09.21	Braga - Tondela	3:1
21.02.21	Braga - Tondela	4:2
03.10.20	Tondela - Braga	0:4
20.07.20	Tondela - Braga	1:0
12.01.20	Braga - Tondela	2:1
Club Friendly
25.07.19	Braga - Tondela	2:2

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