Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Braga B		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.37	3.25	2.68
	2.52	3.3	2.91
	2.38	3.13	2.73
	2.33	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.13)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)	2.73 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
38.3%

Draw
28.3%

Covilhã
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Covilhã's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Covilhã, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 46. Junior M. 63. Beirao R. 73. Ze Pedro 55. Chissumba 68. Cunha N. (C) 61. Eiro 90. Soumare E. H. 99. Kauan Kelvin 59. Said Y. 75. Jean-Marie M.	30. Makaridze G. (G) 44. Monteiro I. 24. Tomas N. 4. Adams M. 7. Traquina 8. Gilberto (C) 80. Renato Luis 82. Figueiredo B. 17. Opeyemi M. 20. Gildo 99. Benedict E.
Substitutes
60. Dias G. (G) 72. Ferreira A. 52. Idalecio 98. Machado G. (G) 86. Rei R. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 80. Vasconcelos 58. Vilela M.	9. Chico Cardoso 15. Ferreira D. 87. Ferreira R. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 19. Joao Vasco 13. Michel 6. Moreira T. 5. Ze Simao 10. Ze Tiago

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga B won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Braga B won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
17.02.24	Varzim - Braga B	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vianense - Braga B	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Braga B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
12.01.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Caldas - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
17.01.24	Covilhã - Amora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.19	Braga B - Covilhã	1:2
02.01.19	Covilhã - Braga B	1:0
25.03.18	Covilhã - Braga B	1:0
21.10.17	Braga B - Covilhã	0:1
04.02.17	Braga B - Covilhã	0:1
24.08.16	Covilhã - Braga B	1:3
27.02.16	Braga B - Covilhã	0:2

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