Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)


	Braga B		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.18	2.98	3.15
	2.38	2.98	3.26
	2.3	3.02	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.23	2.9	3.25
	2.25	2.83	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	2.93 ↓ (3.09)	3.25 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga B
40.9%

Draw
31.1%

Marco 09
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco 09 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Braga B - Marco 09 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 62. Matos N. 53. Noro J. 76. Marques T. 82. Costa G. 60. Lomba J. 61. Ferreira T. 95. Vidigal S. 80. Vasconcelos 89. Duarte A. 11. Merheg S. J.	99. Carvalho D. (G) 25. Pereira H. 33. Silva J. 95. Sousa V. 21. Pedrosa C. 7. Pedro P. 14. Doukoure H. 88. Silva D. 79. Erivaldo 10. Duarte D. 11. Mauro Ribeiro
Substitutes
47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 79. Furtado R. 92. Gil A. 90. Luisinho 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 59. Said Y. 96. Sousa A.	23. Garro L. 27. Guimaraes B. 18. Martins D. 53. Matos T. 5. Nandinho 3. Pedro M. 9. Soares P. 2. Sousa B. 26. Ze Couto (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Pedro P. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Ferreira T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Merheg S. J. ⚽, Noro J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Pedro P. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
61', Mauro Ribeiro ↓, Soares P. ↑,
65', Vidigal S. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
69', Doukoure H. ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
71', Ferreira T. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
71', Duarte A. ↓, Mordomo R. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Merheg S. J. ⚽,
79', Erivaldo ↓, Sousa B. ↑,
79', Duarte D. ↓, Nandinho ↑,
82', Vasconcelos ↓, Nanque E. ↑,
82', Merheg S. J. ↓, Said Y. ↑,

Preview

Braga B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Braga B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Braga B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Braga B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco 09 - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Amarante - Braga B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLW
- AD Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3
14.02.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Marco 09 - Varzim	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Trofense - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.01.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:1
28.09.25	Marco 09 - Braga B	2:2

Upcoming Matches