Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Paredes

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2.1
	3.55	3.09	2.25
	3.46	3.17	2.15	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.15
	3.36	3.26	2.15
	3.07	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	3.06 ↑ (2.86)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
27.6%

Draw
30.1%

Paredes
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

31.7%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

30.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Braga B - Paredes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 82. Costa G. 89. Duarte A. 61. Ferreira T. 60. Lomba J. 76. Marques T. 11. Merheg S. J. 53. Noro J. 81. Pascoal F. 80. Vasconcelos (C) 95. Vidigal S.	31. Matos F. (G) 99. Balelo 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Ferreira P. (C) 23. Macedo Z. 7. Miguel 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 26. Santos Outeiro D. 21. Veiga D. 84. Yuk J.
Substitutes
47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 79. Furtado R. 92. Gil A. 90. Luisinho 63. Moraes G. 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 96. Sousa A.	8. Carvalho D. 9. Fonseca R. 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 6. Matheus Brito 5. Moreira Nuno 10. Soares A. 29. Vasco Rocha 11. Zacarias V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Yuk J. 🟨,
29', Marques T. 🟨,
38', Ferreira T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Merheg S. J. ⚽,
66', Yuk J. ↓, Zacarias V. ↑,
66', Miguel ↓, Fonseca R. ↑,
66', Vidigal S. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
73', Marques T. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
74', Ferreira T. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
79', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
80', Veiga D. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
81', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
84', Erik 🟨,
85', Lomba J. 🟨,
86', Erik ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
86', Macedo Z. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
90+4', Duarte A. ↓, Mordomo R. ↑,
90+6', Santos Outeiro D. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Braga B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paredes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Braga B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Amarante - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTL
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Paredes - Amarante	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.11.25	Paredes - Braga B	2:0
08.08.25	Braga B - Paredes	1:0
23.01.23	Braga B - Paredes	0:1
18.09.22	Paredes - Braga B	0:1

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