Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 37

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.8	3.4	2.35
	2.75	3.35	2.29
	3.08	3.34	2.31
	2.93	3.32	2.29
	2.75	3.3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.29)	3.33 ↓ (3.51)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
32.4%

Draw
27.6%

Braintree Town
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

25.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braintree Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welling United - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

Recent matches Welling is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braintree in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Welling have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Welling won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
27.02.24	Welling United - Truro City	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	St Albans City - Welling United	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Welling United - Worthing	4:1 ✺
17.02.24	Welling United - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.02.24	Welling United - Barnet	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWTL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
27.02.24	Bath City - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Worthing - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Braintree Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Chippenham Town - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1
21.02.23	Welling United - Braintree Town	0:2
25.10.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1
25.01.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	2:2
16.10.21	Welling United - Braintree Town	1:0
08.12.20	Braintree Town - Welling United	1:1
16.11.19	Welling United - Braintree Town	6:2

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