Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.44	3.46	2.09
	3.15	3.35	2.27
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.44	3.38	2.05
	3.35	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.62)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
27.5%

Draw
27.6%

Truro City
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent matches Dover is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dover won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
30.12.23	Aveley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTTL
- Truro City
English National League South
26.12.23	Torquay United - Truro City	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3 ✺
05.12.23	Maidstone United - Truro City	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Truro City - St Albans City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.02.12	Dover Athletic - Truro City	N/A

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