Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.97	3.46	3.82
	1.97	3.46	3.82
	2	3.5	3
	1.95	3.45	3.66
	1.97	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.54)	3.42 ↓ (4.2)	3.53 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
46.9%

Draw
27%

Dover Athletic
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

21.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

20.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taunton Town's form might have worsened.

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dover Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dover Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Taunton Town - Dover Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Taunton Town will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Taunton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dover is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Taunton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Taunton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
09.01.24	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Slough Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Taunton Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
06.01.24	Dover Athletic - Truro City	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Aveley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.10.23	Dover Athletic - Taunton Town	2:2
25.02.23	Taunton Town - Dover Athletic	0:1
10.01.23	Dover Athletic - Taunton Town	1:0

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