Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Hartlepool United		Truro City

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	5
	1.65	3.75	4.75
	1.62	4.12	5.11
	1.81	3.62	4.03	Watch
	1.61	3.64	4.92
	1.63	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.81)	3.81 ↑ (3.62)	4.76 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
56.1%

Draw
24.4%

Truro City
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Hartlepool United - Truro City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. 3. John C. 15. Hunter J. 14. Sheron N. 18. Miley J. 10. Campbell A. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.	1. Lavercombe D. (G) 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 25. Donnellan S. 5. Harrison T. 20. Law R. 4. Dean W. 14. Hasani L. 28. Deeming C. 3. Riley-Lowe C. (C) 26. Marsh A. 9. Harvey T.
Substitutes
30. Aungiers J. 24. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 7. Francis J. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G) 23. Topalloj B.	2. Bell Z. 7. En-Neyah Y. 27. Janneh S. 15. Jephcott L. 21. Kinsey M. 8. Rooney D. 24. Stone A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Campbell A. ⚽, Sheron N. (A),
26', Parkes T. 🟨,
33', Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Marsh A. ⚽, Deeming C. (A),
62', Daly M. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
62', Sheron N. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Miley J. ⚽, Francis J. (A),
75', Deeming C. ↓, Rooney D. ↑,
78', Riley-Lowe C. ↓, Janneh S. ↑,
82', Marsh A. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
83', Campbell A. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Reid A. ⚽, Francis J. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Hartlepool is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Truro is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hartlepool is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hartlepool will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWTW
- Truro City
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Truro City - West Ham United U21	0:3 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Truro City - Sutton United	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Braintree Town - Truro City	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Truro City - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Solihull Moors - Truro City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
31.10.26	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	✺
- Truro City
English National League South
31.10.26	Truro City - Ebbsfleet United	✺

Hartlepool United - Truro City