Match Info

National League - Round 20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.58	3.35	2.52
	2.65	3.31	2.6
	2.61	3.31	2.56	Watch
	2.58	3.41	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
35.9%

Draw
27.8%

Hartlepool United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Hartlepool United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Eastleigh - Hartlepool United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 16. Pierre A. 3. Vokins J. 17. Lundstram J. 20. Pearson S. 4. Humphries L. 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 9. McCallum P.	12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 15. Hunter J. 18. Miley J. 10. Campbell A. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.
Substitutes
11. Blair A. 5. Fernandez L. 27. Harris A. 22. McNamara J. (G) 18. Waruih A. 33. Whitehead T.	30. Aungiers J. 99. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 7. Francis J. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G) 23. Topalloj B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, John C. ⚽, Reid A. (A),
53', 0 - 2, Sheron N. ⚽,
63', Pierre A. 🟨,
71', Brindley R. ↓, Waite J. ↑,
71', McCallum P. ↓, Blair A. ↑,
71', Pierre A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
71', Vokins J. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
73', Campbell A. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
73', Daly M. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
84', Reid A. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
85', Hunter J. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
90+3', Ferguson N. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 0.

Eastleigh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hartlepool is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Eastleigh - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
15.11.25	Carlisle United - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
15.11.25	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.03.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0
23.03.24	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
07.10.23	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	3:1
13.03.21	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0
16.02.21	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	2:1
07.01.20	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	2:1

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