Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.88
	2.18	3.65	2.88
	2.24	3.66	3.03
	2.16	3.67	2.94	Watch
	2.17	3.48	2.85
	2.22	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
42.5%

Draw
25.8%

Morecambe
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.3%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

24.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Braintree Town - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Thompson J. (G) 4. Langston G. (C) 5. Omrore M. 24. Terry F. 33. Logan C. 6. Vennings J. 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 17. Pinnington J. 16. Babic G. 38. Works T. 18. Kamara S.	40. Blackman J. (G) 10. Cain J. 6. Francillette L. 5. Kacurri M. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Azeez M. 32. Thomas G. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 28. Sutton E. 9. Panayiotou H. 36. Nolan J.
Substitutes
14. Akinde J. 7. Blackwell T. 10. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 19. Hockey F. 20. Hubbard F. 9. Walker L.	12. Aarons R. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 17. Lewis P. 1. Mair A. (G) 2. Payne L. 33. Raikhy A. 20. Sangare M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Babic G. ⚽, Works T. (A),
26', Babic G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Marshall-Miranda M. 🟨,
53', Cain J. 🟨,
58', Babic G. ↓, Blackwell T. ↑,
66', Omrore M. ↓, Akinde J. ↑,
68', Songo'o Y. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
68', Panayiotou H. ↓, Aarons R. ↑,
76', Kamara S. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
76', Works T. ↓, Emmanuel-Thomas J. ↑,
82', Cain J. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
83', Sutton E. 🟨,
89', Thomas G. ↓, Dixon-Bonner E. ↑,
90', Langston G. 🟨,
90+1', Kacurri M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Braintree could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Braintree Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Scunthorpe United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Braintree Town - Truro City	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wealdstone - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLL
- Morecambe
English National League
22.11.25	Morecambe - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
18.11.25	Morecambe - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	York City - Morecambe	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Morecambe - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTT

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