Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 20

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	2.95
	2.12	3.35	2.9
	2.07	3.5	3.05
	2.1	3.48	3.17
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.07	3.4	3.16
	2.07	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.79)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	3.07 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
43.8%

Draw
26.6%

Hungerford Town
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hungerford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braintree Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hungerford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Braintree Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hungerford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braintree: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Braintree could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
15.11.22	Braintree Town - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLW
- Hungerford Town
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Tavistock - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Hungerford Town - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Hungerford Town - Worthing	0:0 ✺
01.11.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.02.22	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
12.10.21	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:0
07.11.20	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	1:2
22.02.20	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:0
02.11.19	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	0:3
07.04.18	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	0:1
23.09.17	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	5:0

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