Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 20

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Dartford		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.13	3.64	3.29
	2.07	3.64	3.29
	2	3.6	3
	2.04	3.56	3.22
	2.12	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.61)	3.53 ↓ (4)	3.16 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
44.6%

Draw
26.1%

Braintree Town
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dartford's form might have worsened.

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braintree Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dartford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braintree Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dartford - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Braintree could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dartford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Dartford won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Dartford - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Worthing - Dartford	3:4 ✺
07.11.23	Dartford - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	4:2 ✺
28.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- Braintree Town
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Braintree Town - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.02.23	Braintree Town - Dartford	1:1
05.11.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	4:1
02.05.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:1
28.12.21	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:2
09.01.21	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:1
24.08.19	Dartford - Braintree Town	2:1
06.05.18	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:1

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