Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 40

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Weymouth		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	2.5	3.6	2.5
	3.17	3.4	2.24
	3.17	3.39	2.24
	3.07	3.45	2.16
	3	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.53)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
31.2%

Draw
27.2%

Braintree Town
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weymouth's form might have worsened.

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Weymouth - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 2.

Recent matches Weymouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Weymouth have a series of home games.

Braintree will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
09.03.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	3:3 ✺
20.02.24	Weymouth - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:4 ✺
17.02.24	Weymouth - Worthing	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
12.03.24	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Braintree Town - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welling United - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
27.02.24	Bath City - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Worthing - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.03.23	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0
12.11.22	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:0
01.02.20	Braintree Town - Weymouth	1:1
26.10.19	Weymouth - Braintree Town	3:0
English FA Cup
28.10.14	Braintree Town - Weymouth	5:3 ET
25.10.14	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:0
26.10.13	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:2

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