Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Botafogo SP		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.65	3.25	5.1	Watch
	1.72	3.05	5.6
	1.77	3.24	6.17
	1.73	3.1	5.5
	1.73	3.32	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.89)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	5.46 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
54.1%

Draw
28.9%

Brasil de Pelotas
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

19.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo SP - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

Botafogo SP is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brasil de Pelotas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo SP is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
04.09.20	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
01.09.20	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Botafogo SP - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTTL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
19.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
02.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.10.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo SP	1:0
13.07.19	Botafogo SP - Brasil de Pelotas	2:3

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