Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Mantova		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3	2.87
	2.5	3	2.95	Watch
	2.63	3.08	3.05
	2.62	3	2.99	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.8
	2.63	2.95	2.97	Watch
	2.5	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.43)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
37.1%

Draw
30.8%

Brescia
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Brescia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.9%	7.1%

Mantova - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 18. Ruocco F. 21. Trimboli S. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 24. Artioli F. 19. Mancuso L. 7. Mensah D. (C)	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 27. Olzer G. 39. Besaggio M. 7. Juric A. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
70. Aramu M. 8. Burrai S. 29. Cella S. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 28. Muroni M. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 5. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 21. Fogliata R. 23. Galazzi N. 11. Moncini G. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bisoli D. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
46', Besaggio M. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
46', Olzer G. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽,
64', Adorni D. 🟨,
72', Borrelli G. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
76', Ruocco F. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
76', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
78', Verreth M. ↓, Paghera F. ↑,
79', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
80', Maggioni T. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Debenedetti A. ⚽,
84', Aramu M. 🟨,
90', Trimboli S. 🟨,
90+4', Dickmann L. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
29.09.24	Cesena - Mantova	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bari - Mantova	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
28.08.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.09.24	Brescia - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Monza - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.23	Mantova - Brescia	3:0
01.08.21	Brescia - Mantova	1:0
04.09.19	Mantova - Brescia	1:5
03.08.13	Mantova - Brescia	1:0

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