Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 GOLD Israel, 5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Brescia		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.8
	2.7	2.85	2.9	Watch
	2.7	2.95	3.08
	2.66	2.93	3	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.66	2.94	2.94	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.27)	2.92 ↓ (3.18)	2.9 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
35.2%

Draw
32.3%

Cesena
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Brescia - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 6. Verreth M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 11. Moncini G. 29. Borrelli G. 20. Nuamah P.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ceesay J. 8. Saric D. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 70. Francesconi M. 23. Antonucci M. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
12. Avella M. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 19. Corrado N. 16. D'Andrea L. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 33. Muca Z. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.	17. Adamo E. 14. Berti T. 35. Calo G. 7. Donnarumma D. 27. La Gumina A. 71. Manetti G. 5. Mendicino L. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 91. Russo F. 93. Siano A. (G) 20. Tavsan E.
Coaches
Maran R.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Jallow A. 🟨,
24', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
32', Bertagnoli M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Adorni D. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Calvani G. (Own goal),
57', Saric D. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
57', Shpendi C. ↓, La Gumina A. ↑,
66', Ceesay J. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
69', Antonucci M. 🟨,
73', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
74', Bastoni S. ↓, Calo G. ↑,
74', Antonucci M. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
82', Jallow A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
82', Verreth M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
87', Borrelli G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
88', Nuamah P. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
89', Prestia G. 🟨,
90+2', Adorni D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.

Recent matches Brescia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Brescia: Fogliata R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brescia: Muca Z. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Palermo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Carrarese - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
01.03.25	Cesena - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cremonese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Cesena - Pisa	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Reggiana - Cesena	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0
21.04.18	Brescia - Cesena	0:0
27.11.17	Cesena - Brescia	1:0
04.04.17	Cesena - Brescia	1:1
04.11.16	Brescia - Cesena	3:2
17.01.16	Brescia - Cesena	2:1
05.09.15	Cesena - Brescia	2:0

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