Match Info

Date: 27 December 2020, Sunday


	Brescia		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.6
	2.75	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.81	3.32	2.71
	2.8	3.1	2.6
	2.83	3.3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.5)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.57 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
34.2%

Draw
29.2%

Empoli
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

20.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	49.2%	27.1%

Brescia - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 14 - 23.7%). Empoli will win (votes: 16 - 27.1%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 49.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.4% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Brescia has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Now both teams are in good shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.12.20	Pescara - Brescia	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Brescia - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
15.12.20	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Brescia - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
08.12.20	Cremonese - Brescia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
22.12.20	Empoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:5 ✺
07.12.20	Pordenone - Empoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
25.11.20	Empoli - Brescia	Empoli awarded
Italian Serie B
12.05.18	Brescia - Empoli	0:2
21.12.17	Empoli - Brescia	1:1
03.05.14	Brescia - Empoli	1:3
29.11.13	Empoli - Brescia	2:2
26.02.13	Brescia - Empoli	0:3
29.09.12	Empoli - Brescia	1:1

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