Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Pordenone		Brescia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.3	1.7	Watch
	5.25	3.4	1.7
	5.1	3.45	1.72	Watch
	5	3.25	1.72
	5.74	3.45	1.76
	4.6	3.25	1.83
	5.7	3.72	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (4)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
17.9%

Draw
27.6%

Brescia
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

28.3%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pordenone's form might have worsened.

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brescia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pordenone - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (90.16%), has project points - 20, has currently - 13, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Brescia has the most likely position - 5 (19.31%), has project points - 66, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (81%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has small quality 24, small importance 27, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Pordenone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brescia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brescia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.03.22	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Pordenone - Como	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Pordenone - Pisa	0:1 ✺
01.03.22	Ternana - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.03.22	Brescia - Benevento	2:2 ✺
12.03.22	Lecce - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Cremonese - Brescia	2:1 ✺
01.03.22	Brescia - Perugia	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Como - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Brescia - Pordenone	1:0
02.04.21	Brescia - Pordenone	4:1
15.12.20	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1

Pordenone - Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide