Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Cremonese		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.8
	1.75	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.68	5.01
	1.74	3.56	5.14	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.75	3.7	4.78	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	4.85 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
54.1%

Draw
26.6%

Brescia
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Cremonese - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 23. Ceccherini F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 17. Sernicola L. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Quagliata G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 20. Vazquez F.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 20. Nuamah P. 6. Verreth M. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 8. Bjarnason B. 27. Olzer G. 7. Juric A.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 10. Buonaiuto C. 9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 6. Pickel C. 21. Saro G. (G) 25. Triacca D. 98. Zanimacchia L.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 5. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 23. Galazzi N. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Collocolo M. 🟨,
26', Bisoli D. 🟨,
37', Adorni D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nuamah P. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
46', Bjarnason B. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Vazquez F. ⚽, Quagliata G. (A),
65', Olzer G. 🟨,
66', Collocolo M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
66', Vazquez F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
69', Olzer G. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
75', Sernicola L. 🟨,
82', Vandeputte J. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
83', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
83', Bisoli D. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
83', Jallow A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
85', Cistana A. 🟥,
88', Quagliata G. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
90', De Luca M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽, Juric A. (A),
90+7', Moncini G. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cremonese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Nasti M. (Yellow Cards)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Brescia - Modena	3:3 ✺
20.12.24	Salernitana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brescia - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.24	Brescia - Cremonese	3:2
27.01.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:0
12.11.23	Brescia - Cremonese	0:3
05.03.22	Cremonese - Brescia	2:1
23.10.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:0
20.02.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:2
08.12.20	Cremonese - Brescia	2:2

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