Match Info

Date: 7 December 2020, Monday


	Pordenone		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3
	2.43	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.15	2.95
	2.45	3.35	3.12
	2.38	3.2	3.1
	2.43	3.3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.77)	3.24 ↑ (3.09)	3.03 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
39.6%

Draw
29.2%

Empoli
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

21.8%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pordenone's performance.

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	59.4%	12.5%

Pordenone - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 59.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Pordenone has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.11.20	Pescara - Pordenone	0:2 ✺
21.11.20	Pordenone - Monza	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Pordenone - Chievo	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Ascoli - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.10.20	Pordenone - Monza	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
28.11.20	Empoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.11.20	Empoli - Brescia	Empoli awarded ✺
Italian Serie B
21.11.20	Cittadella - Empoli	2:2 ✺
07.11.20	Empoli - Reggina	3:0 ✺
01.11.20	Venezia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 T?TWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.02.20	Empoli - Pordenone	0:1
05.10.19	Pordenone - Empoli	2:0

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