Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Brescia		Napoli

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6.25	4.4	1.5
	6.1	4.3	1.53	Watch
	5.71	4.19	1.52
	6.32	4.35	1.57
	5.8	4.2	1.53
	6.3	4.4	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (5.79)	4.31 ↑ (4.27)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
15.7%

Draw
22.1%

Napoli
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

22.2%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

18.7%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	6.9%	86.3%

Brescia - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (113 of 131 users predict this - 86.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.36% – 92.16%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie A
16.02.20	Juventus - Brescia	2:0 ✺
09.02.20	Brescia - Udinese	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Bologna - Brescia	2:1 ✺
24.01.20	Brescia - Milan	0:1 ✺
19.01.20	Brescia - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
16.02.20	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.02.20	Inter Milan - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.02.20	Napoli - Lecce	2:3 ✺
03.02.20	Sampdoria - Napoli	2:4 ✺
26.01.20	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.09.19	Napoli - Brescia	2:1

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